It is not the responsibility of the analysts the decide on how risks on the shortlist will be treated. The sponsor or decision maker will be responsible for these measures. However, the analysts do have the responsibility for providing them guidance, and to make reservations for the uncertainty in their assessments and limits to their knowledge.
For each risk on the shortlist, the analysts must give risk treatment recommendations. It is impossible to give a procedure for this, as the suitable treatment for a risk depends very much on the type of service, the nature of the risk, and the circumstances of the case organisation.
In general, four general risk treatment options exist:
Avoid. Remove the risk completely (proaction), or discontinue the use of the component or service altogether. Proaction means eliminating structural causes of accidents to prevent them from happening in the first place (e.g. avoiding radio interference by replacing a wireless link by a wired link). When discontinuing an entire service, an alternative service will often be available. However, you should be careful to replace a service with known risks for a new one with unknown risks.
Even when no alternative is available it may still be worth considering discontinuing use of the telecom service when the risk cannot be avoided. Rather than using a service that may fail unexpectedly, it may be preferable to not use the service at all to avoid unpleasant surprises at inopportune moments during crisis response.
Reduce. Make the risk more acceptable, by reducing either its likelihood (frequency) or impact. These activities encompass prevention and preparation. Prevention means taking measures beforehand that aim to make accidents less likely, and to limit the consequences in case incidents do occur (e.g. by imposing smoking restrictions and using fire-retardant materials). Preparation means ensuring the capacity to deal with accidents and disasters in case they do happen (e.g. by holding regular fire drills).
Transfer. Pass the risk to another party. Typical examples of risk transfer are insurance, or maintenance contracts whereby faulty equipment is replaced with spares on short notice. Risk transfer in effect buys certainty, by transferring the uncertainty to another party in return for payment.
Retain. Accepting the risk, in an informed decision. Reasons for accepting risks may be that other options would be too costly, that the likelihood is deemed to be very low, or simply the lack of suitable alternatives. In all cases it is much preferable to knowingly accept a risk rather than being confronted with it.
Artificiality, immorality | “Unnaturalness” of risk sources. |
Benefits | Tangible and intangible beneficial effects. |
Blame | Responsibility for damages attributable to some actor. |
Catastrophic potential | Fear of sudden, disruptive, large effects. |
Children | Amount of risk exposure faced by children in general. |
Familiarity | Extent to which the risk is perceived as common and well known. |
Fear | Characterises the amount of fear. |
Institutional control | Close, effective monitoring of risks by authorities, with the option of intervention when necessary. |
Media exposure | Amount of attention by (social) media. |
Mobilisation | Potential for protests and active opposition. |
Personal control | Level of control that an individual stakeholder can exercise. |
Violation of equity | Discrepancy between those who enjoy the benefits and those who bear the risks. |
Voluntariness | Amount of free choice an individual has in being exposed to the risk. |
The draft treatment of risks on the shortlist may lead to criticism by other stakeholders. The opinions of these stakeholders must be considered before final treatment recommendations are formulated. Otherwise, decision makers may unexpectedly have to deal with societal opposition, possibly forcing them to opt for a sub-optimal treatment that is nevertheless more acceptable to external stakeholders. Analysts must therefore assess additional risk factors that influence risk perception and risk acceptance by third parties. See the table of social risk factors.
Artificiality applies to situations where people oppose a technology because it is unnatural. For example, electromagnetic radiation from mobile telephony base stations is more often considered 'harmful', whereas natural sunlight is more often considered 'healthy'. However, there is scientific consensus that ill effects from electromagnetic radiation have not been demonstrated, whereas the incidence of skin cancer is cause for serious concern. Related to this issue is that of immorality. Immorality play a role when technological solutions go against people's ethical or moral principles.
Benefits can counterbalance the availability risks on the shortlist. Risky situations can be acceptable when the (perceived) benefits outweigh the (perceived) risks. For example, construction of a high broadcasting tower may meet with less opposition if it will be used for emergency communications instead of entertainment broadcasts.
Blame can sometime be apportioned to some actor (e.g. a telecoms operator), but natural risks cannot be blamed on anyone in particular. Risks without blame are often more acceptable than risk caused by some explicit actor.
Catastrophic potential makes risks less acceptable. The menace of wide-spread, large-scale destruction, regardless of likelihood, makes risks less tolerable. On the other hand, risks that have a small chronic effect over a period of time are often more easily accepted.
Children influence risk perception, sometimes in dramatic ways. People have strong feelings when children are affected by risks.
Familiarity with a risk may lead to complacency. The reverse is also true: novel risks may be less tolerable, simply because they are less well-known.
Fear is a general factor, related to catastrophic potential and familiarity. Strong feelings of fear decrease risk acceptance.
Institutional control can reassure people that risks are handled diligently. Sufficient trust in institutions is a prerequisite. When trust in institutions is low, risks will be perceived to be higher.
Media exposure can lead to increased perception of likelihood. Few people experience risks first-hand, and wide coverage by broadcasting or social networks can increased risk perception.
Mobilisation potential is relevant to decision makers. The 'nimby' phenomenon (“not in my backyard”) reflects mobilisation by nearby residents. Risks may provoke wide-spread and vocal opposition, making them less acceptable to decision makers.
Personal control refers to the amount of influence individuals can exert over the risky situation. For example, the risk of disturbances in communication are more acceptable when the user has the ability to control the device and participate in communication, instead of having only the passive ability to listen.
Violation of equity occurs when the benefits and the adverse effects are unevenly distributed. Opposition will be strong if the beneficiaries do not experience adverse effects at all.
Voluntariness is related to personal control. For example, people can choose whether or not to use a mobile phone, but construction of a mobile antenna mast in their neighbourhood is imposed upon them. Lack of voluntariness makes risks less acceptable.
The analysts must review each risk on the shortlist, to determine whether social risk factors may have a significant impact. This consists of the following steps:
If necessary, risk prioritisation should be adjusted and additional or different risk treatments should be recommended.